In order to master the football prediction, we would need to learn a bit of mathematics, to be more precise, the Poisson Distribution. It is a mathematical concept that helps to outline the possible outcomes converting the historical mean data. To make it less complicated, let’s use a simple example, assume that team A scores 1.7 goals per match. By putting this data into the distribution formula we will get the following results:
How does it work? Let’s find out.
- Team A scores 0 goals 18.3% of the time
- Team A scores 1 goal 31% of the time
- Team A scores 2 goals 26.4% of the time
- Team A scores 3 goals 15% of the time